Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.28 – 194.64

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

97 – 266

Prediction correct · off by 58.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 194.5 ±20.5

8717Cyber Vipers

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 21.13Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

2840PCDS Blue Tide

Provisional

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 20.48Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2662RoboKrew

Provisional

Season APEX 45.1Event APEX 9.67Rank 54Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 436.5 ±16.6

996Mecha Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 56.7Event APEX 0.41Rank 28Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

7755Phantom Circuits

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 35.03Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 159.2Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8717, 2840, 2662

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.3 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 8717, 2840, 2662

Auto

12.7 28%

Teleop

16.9 37%

Endgame

16.1 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 996, 7755, 7426

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.6 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 996, 7755, 7426

Auto

44.5 24%

Teleop

93.2 50%

Endgame

49.2 26%

Strengths

· 7426 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.63 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score51.3pts

Blue projected score194.6pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -143.4
Score range: 33–213
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 363 vs event baseline 101.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

194.5Season APEX436.5

12.7Auto44.5

16.9Teleop93.2

16.1Endgame49.2

22Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	54
teleop	34	165
endgame	25	47
foul	20	0
total	97	266

Result

Final score

97 – 266

Prediction correct · off by 58.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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