Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

12.4 – 93.91

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

92 – 165

Prediction correct · off by 75.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 176.3 ±16.8

10905Team LOVE

Season APEX 70Event APEX -14.91Rank 47Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

3019Firebirds

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 15.29Rank 18Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

5933JudgeMent Call Robotics

Season APEX 59.9Event APEX 12.02Rank 19Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 370.6 ±15.4

60Kingman FIRST Robotics Team 60 (The Bionic Bulldogs)

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX 33.08Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

7333Ghost

Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 22.41Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

3243Amperes

Season APEX 219.5Event APEX 38.42Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10905, 3019, 5933

/ 100 compat

Projected

12.4 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 10905, 3019, 5933

Auto

7.9 86%

Teleop

1.7 18%

Endgame

-0.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 60, 7333, 3243

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.9 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 60, 7333, 3243

Auto

22.3 24%

Teleop

57.2 61%

Endgame

14.8 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.84 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score12.4pts

Blue projected score93.9pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -81.5
Score range: -6–112
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 257 vs event baseline 100.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

176.3Season APEX370.6

7.9Auto22.3

1.7Teleop57.2

-0.4Endgame14.8

104Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	34
teleop	55	103
endgame	8	28
foul	5	0
total	92	165

Result

Final score

92 – 165

Prediction correct · off by 75.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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