Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

38.88 – 38.88

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

311 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 163.6 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 467 ±13

10183ARC

Season APEX 89.7Event APEX -Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX -Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

60Kingman FIRST Robotics Team 60 (The Bionic Bulldogs)

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX -Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 200.2 ±19.4

11479Formosa Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 69.4Event APEX -Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9777Knights of the Lab Table

Provisional

Season APEX 49.6Event APEX -Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9501Sidereal Envoy

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX -Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10183, 2122, 60

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.9 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 10183, 2122, 60

Auto

11.7 30%

Teleop

19.4 50%

Endgame

7.8 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11479, 9777, 9501

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.9 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 11479, 9777, 9501

Auto

11.7 30%

Teleop

19.4 50%

Endgame

7.8 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score38.9pts

Blue projected score38.9pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 25–53
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 405 vs event baseline 77.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

467Season APEX200.2

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	14
teleop	175	44
endgame	69	31
foul	5	5
total	311	94

Result

Final score

311 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 163.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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