Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

226.69 – 35.75

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

333 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 59 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 648.8 ±16.6

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 173.56Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 34.5Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

698Hamilton Microbots

Provisional

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 18.63Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 146.1 ±20

9091A.W.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 14.14Rank 40Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 3.53Rank 46Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9059COLTech Robotics

Season APEX 61.9Event APEX 18.08Rank 29Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2122, 6352, 698

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.7 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 2122, 6352, 698

Auto

31.8 16%

Teleop

119.5 59%

Endgame

52.0 26%

Strengths

· 2122 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9091, 11176, 9059

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.8 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9091, 11176, 9059

Auto

7.4 22%

Teleop

12.3 37%

Endgame

13.5 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score226.7pts

Blue projected score35.8pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 190.9
Score range: 18–245
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 357 vs event baseline 100.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

648.8Season APEX146.1

31.8Auto7.4

119.5Teleop12.3

52Endgame13.5

95Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	6
teleop	216	11
endgame	56	7
foul	0	0
total	333	24

Result

Final score

333 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 59 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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