Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

92.14 – 153.88

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

91 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 21 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 248.9 ±15

1828BoxerBots

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 42.79Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3424Corax

Season APEX 119.3Event APEX 21.16Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

11100Team Epsilon

Season APEX 68.2Event APEX 28.19Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 384 ±11.7

288The RoboDawgs

Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 32.08Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 45.55Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9501Sidereal Envoy

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 76.25Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1828, 3424, 11100

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.1 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1828, 3424, 11100

Auto

7.4 8%

Teleop

51.6 56%

Endgame

32.5 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 288, 2403, 9501

/ 100 compat

Projected

153.9 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 288, 2403, 9501

Auto

23.5 16%

Teleop

88.5 60%

Endgame

36.7 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score92.1pts

Blue projected score153.9pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -61.7
Score range: 74–172
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 204 vs event baseline 100.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

248.9Season APEX384

7.4Auto23.5

51.6Teleop88.5

32.5Endgame36.7

29Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	23
teleop	37	64
endgame	43	21
foul	0	5
total	91	113

Result

Final score

91 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 21 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.