Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

121.11 – 45.52

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

165 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 28.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 427.7 ±11.7

3245Ravens

Season APEX 194Event APEX 61.35Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10933Tie Dye Samurai

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 9.46Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6413Degrees of Freedom

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 50.3Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 167.9 ±22.5

6833Python Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 29.97Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10506Crash Test Dummies

Provisional

Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 9.34Rank 49Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9777Knights of the Lab Table

Provisional

Season APEX 49.6Event APEX 6.21Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3245, 10933, 6413

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.1 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3245, 10933, 6413

Auto

25.5 21%

Teleop

56.3 46%

Endgame

40.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6833, 10506, 9777

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.5 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 6833, 10506, 9777

Auto

12.3 29%

Teleop

8.9 21%

Endgame

20.6 49%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.93 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score121.1pts

Blue projected score45.5pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 75.6
Score range: 28–139
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 223 vs event baseline 100.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

427.7Season APEX167.9

25.5Auto12.3

56.3Teleop8.9

40Endgame20.6

36Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	14
teleop	89	32
endgame	41	12
foul	5	0
total	165	58

Result

Final score

165 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 28.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.