Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

76.99 – 141.86

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 25.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 230.9 ±18.2

3944All Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 10.96Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

60Kingman FIRST Robotics Team 60 (The Bionic Bulldogs)

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX 41.39Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

8717Cyber Vipers

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 24.64Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 473.4 ±15.5

2840PCDS Blue Tide

Provisional

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 19.74Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10980The Deadbolts

Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 54.46Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

987HIGHROLLERS

Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 67.66Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3944, 60, 8717

/ 100 compat

Projected

77 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 3944, 60, 8717

Auto

19.2 27%

Teleop

38.3 54%

Endgame

12.8 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2840, 10980, 987

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.9 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2840, 10980, 987

Auto

36.0 24%

Teleop

74.7 51%

Endgame

36.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score77pts

Blue projected score141.9pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -64.9
Score range: 59–160
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 167 vs event baseline 100.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

230.9Season APEX473.4

19.2Auto36

38.3Teleop74.7

12.8Endgame36.6

34Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	31
teleop	28	76
endgame	9	9
foul	0	0
total	51	116

Result

Final score

51 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 25.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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