Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

183.5 – 51.31

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

189 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 14.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 408.4 ±17.7

2478Westwood Robotics

Season APEX 76.3Event APEX 24.63Rank 37Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 154.7Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 4.17Rank 46Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 313.6 ±16.4

1165Team Paradise

Season APEX 57Event APEX -2.5Rank 53Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9091A.W.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 15.92Rank 40Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

3243Amperes

Season APEX 219.5Event APEX 37.89Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2478, 7426, 11176

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.5 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 2478, 7426, 11176

Auto

38.8 22%

Teleop

87.8 49%

Endgame

52.0 29%

Strengths

· 7426 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1165, 9091, 3243

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.3 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1165, 9091, 3243

Auto

17.9 42%

Teleop

18.5 43%

Endgame

6.3 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score183.5pts

Blue projected score51.3pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 132.2
Score range: 33–202
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 217 vs event baseline 100.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

408.4Season APEX313.6

38.8Auto17.9

87.8Teleop18.5

52Endgame6.3

82Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	11
teleop	103	0
endgame	32	7
foul	5	10
total	189	28

Result

Final score

189 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 14.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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