Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

50.77 – 49.97

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

149 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 64.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 334 ±17.2

6479AZTECH Robotics

Season APEX 110.2Event APEX 50.26Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

996Mecha Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 56.7Event APEX 0.44Rank 28Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10988Desert Storm

Season APEX 167.1Event APEX 0.07Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 255.8 ±17

3424Corax

Season APEX 119.3Event APEX 26.33Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1212Sentinels

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 40.17Rank 22Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

2080Torbotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX -16.53Rank 36Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6479, 996, 10988

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.8 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6479, 996, 10988

Auto

10.0 18%

Teleop

21.2 39%

Endgame

23.6 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3424, 1212, 2080

/ 100 compat

Projected

50 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 3424, 1212, 2080

Auto

8.5 19%

Teleop

23.8 53%

Endgame

12.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score50.8pts

Blue projected score50pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0.8
Score range: 31–70
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 229 vs event baseline 103.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

334Season APEX255.8

10Auto8.5

21.2Teleop23.8

23.6Endgame12.5

15Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	19
teleop	86	53
endgame	47	8
foul	0	0
total	149	80

Result

Final score

149 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 64.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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