Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

65.31 – 85.41

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

79 – 51

Prediction missed · off by 24 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.2 ±17.7

9091A.W.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 15.76Rank 40Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

1410The Kraken

Season APEX 104.8Event APEX 63.88Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2080Torbotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX -14.33Rank 36Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 250.6 ±17.7

3424Corax

Season APEX 119.3Event APEX 22.64Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10380The Dragon Hunters

Provisional

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 18.95Rank 44Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

60Kingman FIRST Robotics Team 60 (The Bionic Bulldogs)

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX 43.82Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9091, 1410, 2080

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.3 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 9091, 1410, 2080

Auto

22.7 34%

Teleop

42.7 64%

Endgame

1.4 2%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3424, 10380, 60

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.4 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 3424, 10380, 60

Auto

25.3 30%

Teleop

46.4 55%

Endgame

13.0 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.18 · Blue 1.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score65.3pts

Blue projected score85.4pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -20.1
Score range: 47–103
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 130 vs event baseline 98.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

227.2Season APEX250.6

22.7Auto25.3

42.7Teleop46.4

1.4Endgame13

0Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	7
teleop	39	31
endgame	22	13
foul	0	0
total	79	51

Result

Final score

79 – 51

Prediction missed · off by 24 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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