Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

33.98 – 80.52

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 29.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 189.5 ±16.8

3009High Scalers

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 5.03Rank 55Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

7333Ghost

Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 37.96Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9534Wolves Robotics (Basic HS)

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX -9.01Rank 51Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 335.3 ±13.5

9059COLTech Robotics

Season APEX 61.9Event APEX 17.16Rank 29Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

8717Cyber Vipers

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 20.75Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 42.61Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3009, 7333, 9534

/ 100 compat

Projected

34 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 3009, 7333, 9534

Auto

7.1 21%

Teleop

20.2 59%

Endgame

6.9 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9059, 8717, 2403

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.5 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9059, 8717, 2403

Auto

10.9 18%

Teleop

26.6 43%

Endgame

23.9 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.98 · Blue 1.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score34pts

Blue projected score80.5pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -46.5
Score range: 16–99
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 173 vs event baseline 100.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

189.5Season APEX335.3

7.1Auto10.9

20.2Teleop26.6

6.9Endgame23.9

124Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	13
teleop	39	58
endgame	20	34
foul	0	0
total	68	105

Result

Final score

68 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 29.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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