Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

106.87 – 25.39

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

144 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 26.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 176.3 ±20

2840PCDS Blue Tide

Provisional

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 18.89Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10380The Dragon Hunters

Provisional

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 18.09Rank 44Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9501Sidereal Envoy

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 69.89Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 129.9 ±20

10933Tie Dye Samurai

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX -3.88Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9704IgKnighted

Provisional

Season APEX 40.5Event APEX 11.31Rank 50Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 17.96Rank 46Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2840, 10380, 9501

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.9 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2840, 10380, 9501

Auto

28.8 29%

Teleop

53.8 54%

Endgame

17.4 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10933, 9704, 11176

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.4 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 10933, 9704, 11176

Auto

14.5 57%

Teleop

10.5 41%

Endgame

0.6 2%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.92 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score106.9pts

Blue projected score25.4pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 81.5
Score range: 8–124
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 185 vs event baseline 94.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

176.3Season APEX129.9

28.8Auto14.5

53.8Teleop10.5

17.4Endgame0.6

107Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	12
teleop	69	21
endgame	38	8
foul	10	0
total	144	41

Result

Final score

144 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 26.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.