Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

52.93 – 171.26

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 255

Prediction correct · off by 48.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 294.5 ±14.5

4731MONARCH-E

Season APEX 77.3Event APEX 1.28Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3424Corax

Season APEX 119.3Event APEX 29.77Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

8717Cyber Vipers

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 21.88Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 474 ±15.2

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 151.87Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4146Sabercats

Provisional

Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 12.55Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10114Phantom Talons

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 6.84Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4731, 3424, 8717

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.9 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 4731, 3424, 8717

Auto

-2.9 0%

Teleop

36.7 75%

Endgame

15.3 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2122, 4146, 10114

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.3 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 2122, 4146, 10114

Auto

44.1 27%

Teleop

87.1 54%

Endgame

30.6 19%

Strengths

· 2122 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.76 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score52.9pts

Blue projected score171.3pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -118.3
Score range: 36–188
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 321 vs event baseline 92.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

294.5Season APEX474

-2.9Auto44.1

36.7Teleop87.1

15.3Endgame30.6

60Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	29
teleop	24	158
endgame	27	53
foul	0	15
total	66	255

Result

Final score

66 – 255

Prediction correct · off by 48.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.