Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

161.24 – 93.52

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

273 – 126

Prediction correct · off by 72.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 422.3 ±16.6

9777Knights of the Lab Table

Provisional

Season APEX 49.6Event APEX -4.5Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 118.75Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

60Kingman FIRST Robotics Team 60 (The Bionic Bulldogs)

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX 46.99Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 293.9 ±14.5

9534Wolves Robotics (Basic HS)

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX -2.31Rank 51Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

7425Green Valley Robotics

Season APEX 119.9Event APEX 24.27Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3216MRT

Season APEX 114.7Event APEX 71.56Rank 13Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9777, 7426, 60

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.2 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9777, 7426, 60

Auto

42.0 26%

Teleop

84.4 53%

Endgame

32.8 21%

Strengths

· 7426 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9534, 7425, 3216

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.5 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9534, 7425, 3216

Auto

-2.3 0%

Teleop

58.0 60%

Endgame

41.1 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.84 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score161.2pts

Blue projected score93.5pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67.7
Score range: 78–177
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 399 vs event baseline 89.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

422.3Season APEX293.9

42Auto-2.3

84.4Teleop58

32.8Endgame41.1

64Consistency143

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	10
teleop	140	76
endgame	80	40
foul	0	0
total	273	126

Result

Final score

273 – 126

Prediction correct · off by 72.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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