Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.66 – 111.73

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 13.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 477 ±15

2080Torbotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX -7.43Rank 36Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86

991BroncoBots

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 67.2Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 21.89Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 322.1 ±14.1

5933JudgeMent Call Robotics

Season APEX 59.9Event APEX 29.85Rank 19Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

11100Team Epsilon

Season APEX 68.2Event APEX 24.77Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

3245Ravens

Season APEX 194Event APEX 57.11Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2080, 991, 6352

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.7 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 2080, 991, 6352

Auto

14.7 17%

Teleop

48.6 57%

Endgame

21.4 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5933, 11100, 3245

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.7 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 5933, 11100, 3245

Auto

18.9 18%

Teleop

67.5 63%

Endgame

21.6 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score81.7pts

Blue projected score111.7pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -30.1
Score range: 66–128
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 193 vs event baseline 89.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

477Season APEX322.1

14.7Auto18.9

48.6Teleop67.5

21.4Endgame21.6

108Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	11
teleop	33	64
endgame	1	45
foul	20	5
total	68	125

Result

Final score

68 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 13.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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