Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
63.29 – 43.33
56%44%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
103 – 108
Prediction missed · off by 52.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 423.1 ±13.9
Season APEX 219.5Event APEX 29.55Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 76.3Event APEX 5.48Rank 37Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 28.26Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 420.8 ±15.5
8012APEX Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 41.1Event APEX -35.9Rank 48Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 55.48Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 23.75Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3243, 2478, 288
59
/ 100 compatProjected
63.3 pts
~1.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 3243, 2478, 288
Auto
17.4 31%
Teleop
25.9 46%
Endgame
13.2 23%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8012, 987, 2403
33
/ 100 compatProjected
43.3 pts
~1.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 8012, 987, 2403
Auto
23.5 67%
Teleop
14.6 42%
Endgame
-3.0 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.23
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score63.3pts
Blue projected score43.3pts
Red win probability56%
Event bonus sample196alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 20
- Score range
- 27–79
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
423.1Season APEX420.8
17.4Auto23.5
25.9Teleop14.6
13.2Endgame-3
158Consistency196
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 16 |
| teleop | 57 | 62 |
| endgame | 35 | 30 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 103 | 108 |
Result
Final score
103 – 108
Prediction missed · off by 52.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.