Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

11.16 – 149.88

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

125 – 116

Prediction missed · off by 73.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 275.8 ±14.5

991BroncoBots

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 26.08Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9534Wolves Robotics (Basic HS)

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX -22.38Rank 51Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

3424Corax

Season APEX 119.3Event APEX 7.46Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 518.5 ±12.4

7755Phantom Circuits

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 55.98Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3243Amperes

Season APEX 219.5Event APEX 42.82Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

987HIGHROLLERS

Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 51.08Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 991, 9534, 3424

/ 100 compat

Projected

11.2 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 991, 9534, 3424

Auto

9.8 76%

Teleop

10.4 81%

Endgame

-7.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7755, 3243, 987

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.9 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7755, 3243, 987

Auto

25.8 19%

Teleop

85.5 62%

Endgame

25.8 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score11.2pts

Blue projected score149.9pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -138.7
Score range: -5–166
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 241 vs event baseline 87.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

275.8Season APEX518.5

9.8Auto25.8

10.4Teleop85.5

-7.3Endgame25.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	44
teleop	79	67
endgame	37	5
foul	5	0
total	125	116

Result

Final score

125 – 116

Prediction missed · off by 73.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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