Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.65 – 121.06

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

58 – 50

Prediction missed · off by 37.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 395.6 ±20.5

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 15.14Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9777Knights of the Lab Table

Provisional

Season APEX 49.6Event APEX 14.4Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2840PCDS Blue Tide

Provisional

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 25.11Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 338.7 ±14.5

1410The Kraken

Season APEX 104.8Event APEX 66.33Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10988Desert Storm

Season APEX 167.1Event APEX 16.94Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

3009High Scalers

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 37.79Rank 55Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6352, 9777, 2840

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.7 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 6352, 9777, 2840

Auto

3.7 6%

Teleop

26.5 45%

Endgame

29.2 49%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1410, 10988, 3009

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.1 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1410, 10988, 3009

Auto

16.3 16%

Teleop

60.5 58%

Endgame

27.4 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.96 · Blue 1.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score54.7pts

Blue projected score121.1pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -66.4
Score range: 39–137
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 108 vs event baseline 89.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

395.6Season APEX338.7

3.7Auto16.3

26.5Teleop60.5

29.2Endgame27.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	19
teleop	39	19
endgame	7	12
foul	0	0
total	58	50

Result

Final score

58 – 50

Prediction missed · off by 37.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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