Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

53.27 – 36.88

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

88 – 100

Prediction missed · off by 48.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 273.8 ±18.7

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX -3.92Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 31.34Rank 46Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

1212Sentinels

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 25.85Rank 22Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 230.5 ±17.7

10183ARC

Season APEX 89.7Event APEX 29.54Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10905Team LOVE

Season APEX 70Event APEX 12.74Rank 47Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

6833Python Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX -5.4Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2403, 11176, 1212

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.3 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2403, 11176, 1212

Auto

18.7 44%

Teleop

23.7 56%

Endgame

0.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10183, 10905, 6833

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.9 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 10183, 10905, 6833

Auto

13.7 40%

Teleop

17.3 50%

Endgame

3.5 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score53.3pts

Blue projected score36.9pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 16.4
Score range: 21–69
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 188 vs event baseline 87.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

273.8Season APEX230.5

18.7Auto13.7

23.7Teleop17.3

0Endgame3.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	10
teleop	53	54
endgame	20	36
foul	0	0
total	88	100

Result

Final score

88 – 100

Prediction missed · off by 48.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.