Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

149.69 – 81.61

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

209 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 40 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 590.5 ±15.2

2486CocoNuts

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 20.4Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 139.59Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

996Mecha Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 56.7Event APEX -10.3Rank 28Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 170.2 ±20.3

3019Firebirds

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 2.83Rank 18Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

10506Crash Test Dummies

Provisional

Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 56.44Rank 49Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2478Westwood Robotics

Season APEX 76.3Event APEX 22.34Rank 37Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2486, 2122, 996

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.7 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2486, 2122, 996

Auto

24.6 19%

Teleop

65.9 51%

Endgame

39.9 31%

Strengths

· 2122 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3019, 10506, 2478

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.6 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3019, 10506, 2478

Auto

20.0 28%

Teleop

28.6 40%

Endgame

23.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.9 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score149.7pts

Blue projected score81.6pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 68.1
Score range: 66–166
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 270 vs event baseline 87.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

590.5Season APEX170.2

24.6Auto20

65.9Teleop28.6

39.9Endgame23.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	9
teleop	110	28
endgame	48	24
foul	0	0
total	209	61

Result

Final score

209 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 40 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.