Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

57.95 – 56.33

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

48 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 190.7 ±21.4

10380The Dragon Hunters

Provisional

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX -5.32Rank 44Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2478Westwood Robotics

Season APEX 76.3Event APEX 30.24Rank 37Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6833Python Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 33.03Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 212.3 ±17.7

991BroncoBots

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 47.31Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10905Team LOVE

Season APEX 70Event APEX -0.07Rank 47Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

2662RoboKrew

Provisional

Season APEX 45.1Event APEX 9.09Rank 54Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10380, 2478, 6833

/ 100 compat

Projected

58 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 10380, 2478, 6833

Auto

16.4 33%

Teleop

28.2 57%

Endgame

4.8 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 991, 10905, 2662

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.3 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 991, 10905, 2662

Auto

24.9 45%

Teleop

23.3 42%

Endgame

7.7 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score58pts

Blue projected score56.3pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1.6
Score range: 35–79
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 80 vs event baseline 116.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

190.7Season APEX212.3

16.4Auto24.9

28.2Teleop23.3

4.8Endgame7.7

28Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	20
teleop	7	8
endgame	7	4
foul	20	0
total	48	32

Result

Final score

48 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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