Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

76.59 – 143.14

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 28.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 442.2 ±18.2

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 8Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

7755Phantom Circuits

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 48.59Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

4146Sabercats

Provisional

Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 20Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.7 ±14.5

10933Tie Dye Samurai

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 12.96Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

60Kingman FIRST Robotics Team 60 (The Bionic Bulldogs)

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX 94.71Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3216MRT

Season APEX 114.7Event APEX 35.47Rank 13Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6352, 7755, 4146

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.6 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 6352, 7755, 4146

Auto

17.9 25%

Teleop

42.6 59%

Endgame

12.0 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10933, 60, 3216

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.1 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 10933, 60, 3216

Auto

24.2 16%

Teleop

85.5 58%

Endgame

38.6 26%

Strengths

· 60 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score76.6pts

Blue projected score143.1pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -66.5
Score range: 61–159
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 163 vs event baseline 87.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

442.2Season APEX244.7

17.9Auto24.2

42.6Teleop85.5

12Endgame38.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	17
teleop	18	69
endgame	18	26
foul	5	0
total	51	112

Result

Final score

51 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 28.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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