Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

64.84 – 39.85

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

14 – 49

Prediction missed · off by 30 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 156.5 ±20.5

9534Wolves Robotics (Basic HS)

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 4.57Rank 51Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

996Mecha Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 56.7Event APEX 13.43Rank 28Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9704IgKnighted

Provisional

Season APEX 40.5Event APEX 46.84Rank 50Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 298.5 ±16.9

9091A.W.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 26.14Rank 40Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6413Degrees of Freedom

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 4.57Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10905Team LOVE

Season APEX 70Event APEX 9.14Rank 47Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9534, 996, 9704

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.8 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9534, 996, 9704

Auto

18.1 29%

Teleop

30.7 48%

Endgame

14.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9091, 6413, 10905

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.9 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9091, 6413, 10905

Auto

11.6 30%

Teleop

17.7 45%

Endgame

9.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score64.8pts

Blue projected score39.9pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 25
Score range: 24–81
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 63 vs event baseline 88.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

156.5Season APEX298.5

18.1Auto11.6

30.7Teleop17.7

14.6Endgame9.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	15
teleop	3	23
endgame	0	11
foul	0	0
total	14	49

Result

Final score

14 – 49

Prediction missed · off by 30 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.