Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

401.08 – 179.96

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

372 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 63 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 669.4 ±11.4

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 188.25Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 174.88Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7755Phantom Circuits

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 37.95Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 490.2 ±11.7

1410The Kraken

Season APEX 104.8Event APEX 62.31Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3245Ravens

Season APEX 194Event APEX 60.48Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6413Degrees of Freedom

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 57.17Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2122, 7426, 7755

/ 100 compat

Projected

401.1 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2122, 7426, 7755

Auto

82.8 21%

Teleop

225.1 57%

Endgame

88.4 22%

Strengths

· 2122 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1410, 3245, 6413

/ 100 compat

Projected

180 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1410, 3245, 6413

Auto

36.0 22%

Teleop

85.0 51%

Endgame

45.9 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score401.1pts

Blue projected score180pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 221.1
Score range: 159–422
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 455 vs event baseline 114.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

669.4Season APEX490.2

82.8Auto36

225.1Teleop85

88.4Endgame45.9

0Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	99	36
teleop	190	47
endgame	73	0
foul	10	0
total	372	83

Result

Final score

372 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 63 pts

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