Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
407.12 – 185.53
94%6%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
377 – 139
Prediction correct · off by 38.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 669.4 ±11.4
Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 190.13Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 285Event APEX 176.91Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 40.08Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 490.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 104.8Event APEX 64.26Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 194Event APEX 62.01Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 59.26Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2122, 7426, 7755
80
/ 100 compatProjected
407.1 pts
~2.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 2122, 7426, 7755
Auto
78.9 20%
Teleop
237.7 59%
Endgame
85.8 21%
Strengths
- · 2122 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1410, 3245, 6413
84
/ 100 compatProjected
185.5 pts
~0.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 1410, 3245, 6413
Auto
36.5 21%
Teleop
87.9 51%
Endgame
48.5 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.57
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score407.1pts
Blue projected score185.5pts
Red win probability94%
Event bonus sample196alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 221.6
- Score range
- 166–427
- Upset likelihood
- 6%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
669.4Season APEX490.2
78.9Auto36.5
237.7Teleop87.9
85.8Endgame48.5
0Consistency17
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 97 | 34 |
| teleop | 178 | 61 |
| endgame | 97 | 29 |
| foul | 5 | 15 |
| total | 377 | 139 |
Result
Final score
377 – 139
Prediction correct · off by 38.3 pts
Match videos
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