Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

28.58 – 51.49

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

28 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±56.6

9983Off-Season Demo Team 9983

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 12.63Rank 14Record 5-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9998Off-Season Demo Team 9998

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 3.98Rank 19Record 4-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9979Off-Season Demo Team 9979

Season APEX -Event APEX 11.97Rank 9Record 7-4-0Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9980Off-Season Demo Team 9980

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 22.75Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9977Off-Season Demo Team 9977

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 9.38Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 19.36Rank 13Record 5-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9983, 9998, 9979

/ 100 compat

Projected

28.6 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9983, 9998, 9979

Auto

9.8 36%

Teleop

9.6 36%

Endgame

7.5 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9980, 9977, 9995

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.5 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9980, 9977, 9995

Auto

16.5 37%

Teleop

21.1 47%

Endgame

7.6 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.08 · Blue 1.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score28.6pts

Blue projected score51.5pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -22.9
Score range: 17–63
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 93 vs event baseline 65.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

9.8Auto16.5

9.6Teleop21.1

7.5Endgame7.6

29Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	20
teleop	16	30
endgame	6	15
foul	0	0
total	28	65

Result

Final score

28 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 7 pts