Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

63.75 – 22.93

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

53 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 6.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 111.7 ±14.1

6524Wilder Wolves FRC

Season APEX -Event APEX 5.35Rank 23Record 3-7-1Status -Confidence -

4788Can't Control

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 34.33Rank 6Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9191My Chemical Robots

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 24.07Rank 12Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 35.5 ±12

9433Lil' Timmy's Big Team

Provisional

Season APEX 35.5Event APEX 8.75Rank 11Record 6-4-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

10316The Western Blue Tongues

Season APEX -Event APEX 2.71Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status -Confidence -

8876Lynwood Tech Tips

Season APEX -Event APEX 11.47Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6524, 4788, 9191

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.8 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6524, 4788, 9191

Auto

8.7 14%

Teleop

33.8 55%

Endgame

19.4 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9433, 10316, 8876

/ 100 compat

Projected

22.9 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9433, 10316, 8876

Auto

7.0 26%

Teleop

14.8 55%

Endgame

5.0 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.51 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score63.8pts

Blue projected score22.9pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40.8
Score range: 11–76
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 73 vs event baseline 65.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

111.7Season APEX35.5

8.7Auto7

33.8Teleop14.8

19.4Endgame5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	7
teleop	27	10
endgame	0	3
foul	15	0
total	53	20

Result

Final score

53 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 6.8 pts