Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

28.61 – 40.9

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

40 – 29

Prediction missed · off by 11.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 50.9 ±57.4

9983Off-Season Demo Team 9983

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 8.58Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 2.67Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9191My Chemical Robots

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 17.36Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 49.6 ±41.8

10342Lost in Translation

Provisional

Season APEX 49.6Event APEX 38.02Rank -Record -Status provisionalConfidence 73

6524Wilder Wolves FRC

Season APEX -Event APEX 4.51Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -1.63Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9983, 9992, 9191

/ 100 compat

Projected

28.6 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9983, 9992, 9191

Auto

4.7 22%

Teleop

8.8 40%

Endgame

8.3 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10342, 6524, 9990

/ 100 compat

Projected

40.9 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10342, 6524, 9990

Auto

11.6 34%

Teleop

19.8 58%

Endgame

2.8 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.11 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score28.6pts

Blue projected score40.9pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -12.3
Score range: 18–52
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 69 vs event baseline 59.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

50.9Season APEX49.6

4.7Auto11.6

8.8Teleop19.8

8.3Endgame2.8

73Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	10
teleop	20	15
endgame	11	4
foul	0	0
total	40	29

Result

Final score

40 – 29

Prediction missed · off by 11.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable