Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

17.41 – 36.83

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

30 – 10

Prediction missed · off by 19.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±40

9973Off-Season Demo Team 9973

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -20.47Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 30.33Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9979Off-Season Demo Team 9979

Season APEX -Event APEX 7.55Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±56.6

9985Off-Season Demo Team 9985

Season APEX -Event APEX 17.94Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9978Off-Season Demo Team 9978

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 7.64Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9984Off-Season Demo Team 9984

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 11.25Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9973, NaN, 9979

/ 100 compat

Projected

17.4 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9973, NaN, 9979

Auto

7.7 33%

Teleop

8.5 36%

Endgame

7.3 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9985, 9978, 9984

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.8 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9985, 9978, 9984

Auto

14.5 37%

Teleop

17.1 43%

Endgame

8.1 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.06 · Blue 1.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score17.4pts

Blue projected score36.8pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -19.4
Score range: 6–48
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 40 vs event baseline 59.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

7.7Auto14.5

8.5Teleop17.1

7.3Endgame8.1

59Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	6
teleop	12	4
endgame	9	0
foul	0	0
total	30	10

Result

Final score

30 – 10

Prediction missed · off by 19.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable