Qualification · Qualification 47
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
28.58 – 21.82
52%48%
Actual result
Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±56.6
Season APEX -Event APEX 17.94Rank 14Record 3-5-0Status -Confidence -
Season APEX 0Event APEX -1.63Rank 27Record 1-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX 12.27Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 49.6 ±57.8
Season APEX 0Event APEX -20.47Rank 22Record 2-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX 4.27Rank 25Record 2-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
10342Lost in Translation
Provisional
Season APEX 49.6Event APEX 38.02Rank 3Record 6-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9985, 9990, 9996
35
/ 100 compatProjected
28.6 pts
~1.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9985, 9990, 9996
Auto
6.0 23%
Teleop
17.8 69%
Endgame
2.1 8%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 20%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9973, 9998, 10342
15
/ 100 compatProjected
21.8 pts
~1.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9973, 9998, 10342
Auto
12.2 91%
Teleop
6.1 46%
Endgame
-4.9 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 20%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.14
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score28.6pts
Blue projected score21.8pts
Red win probability52%
Event bonus sample70alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 20%, blue 15%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 6.8
- Score range
- 11–40
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
0Season APEX49.6
6Auto12.2
17.8Teleop6.1
2.1Endgame-4.9
2Consistency59
Result
This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.