Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

143.4 – 32.24

80%20%

Actual result

Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 141.7 ±17.9

7113Control Rising

Season APEX 30Event APEX 32.67Rank 16Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4788Can't Control

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 93.37Rank 4Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9191My Chemical Robots

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 17.36Rank 13Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 35.5 ±41.8

9989Off-Season Demo Team 9989

Season APEX -Event APEX 8.16Rank 26Record 2-6-0Status -Confidence -

9978Off-Season Demo Team 9978

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 7.64Rank 12Record 3-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9433Lil' Timmy's Big Team

Provisional

Season APEX 35.5Event APEX 16.44Rank 11Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7113, 4788, 9191

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.4 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7113, 4788, 9191

Auto

28.7 21%

Teleop

76.6 57%

Endgame

28.2 21%

Strengths

· 4788 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9989, 9978, 9433

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.2 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9989, 9978, 9433

Auto

15.2 54%

Teleop

6.4 23%

Endgame

6.4 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.86 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score143.4pts

Blue projected score32.2pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 111.2
Score range: 21–154
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

141.7Season APEX35.5

28.7Auto15.2

76.6Teleop6.4

28.2Endgame6.4

30Consistency43

Result

This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.