Qualification · Qualification 45
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
21.55 – 0
57%43%
Actual result
Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±56.6
Season APEX -Event APEX 1.72Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -
Season APEX 0Event APEX 8.58Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX 11.25Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3
Season APEX 0Event APEX -2.03Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX 2.67Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX -1.44Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10316, 9983, 9984
36
/ 100 compatProjected
21.6 pts
~1.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 10316, 9983, 9984
Auto
6.2 21%
Teleop
14.4 48%
Endgame
9.4 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 12%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9987, 9992, 9977
2
/ 100 compatProjected
-0.8 pts
~1.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9987, 9992, 9977
Auto
6.0 100%
Teleop
-4.1 0%
Endgame
-1.9 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 12%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.06
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score21.6pts
Blue projected score-0.8pts
Red win probability57%
Event bonus sample70alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 12%, blue 15%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 21.6
- Score range
- -11–33
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
0Season APEX0
6.2Auto6
14.4Teleop-4.1
9.4Endgame-1.9
47Consistency48
Result
This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.