Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

139.27 – 27.98

80%20%

Actual result

Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 60.8 ±10

4788Can't Control

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 93.37Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 79

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 30.33Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

8876Lynwood Tech Tips

Season APEX -Event APEX 15.57Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±40

9996Off-Season Demo Team 9996

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 12.27Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9979Off-Season Demo Team 9979

Season APEX -Event APEX 7.55Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9989Off-Season Demo Team 9989

Season APEX -Event APEX 8.16Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4788, NaN, 8876

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.3 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4788, NaN, 8876

Auto

29.9 21%

Teleop

76.1 53%

Endgame

37.7 26%

Strengths

· 4788 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9996, 9979, 9989

/ 100 compat

Projected

28 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9996, 9979, 9989

Auto

7.3 33%

Teleop

11.3 51%

Endgame

3.5 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.95 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score139.3pts

Blue projected score28pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 111.3
Score range: 17–150
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

60.8Season APEX0

29.9Auto7.3

76.1Teleop11.3

37.7Endgame3.5

0Consistency0

Result

This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.