Qualification · Qualification 43
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
36.43 – 53.68
45%55%
Actual result
Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3
Season APEX 0Event APEX 30.42Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX 7.64Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX -1.63Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 50.9 ±10
Season APEX -Event APEX 17.94Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -
Season APEX -Event APEX 18.38Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -
Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 17.36Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 79
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9980, 9978, 9990
33
/ 100 compatProjected
36.4 pts
~1.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9980, 9978, 9990
Auto
19.3 58%
Teleop
11.4 34%
Endgame
2.4 7%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9985, 4537, 9191
55
/ 100 compatProjected
53.7 pts
~1.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9985, 4537, 9191
Auto
6.1 13%
Teleop
28.4 60%
Endgame
13.1 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.43
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score36.4pts
Blue projected score53.7pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample70alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 21%, blue 28%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -17.2
- Score range
- 25–65
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
0Season APEX50.9
19.3Auto6.1
11.4Teleop28.4
2.4Endgame13.1
2Consistency0
Result
This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.