Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

32.58 – 133.73

22%78%

Actual result

Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±40

9973Off-Season Demo Team 9973

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -20.47Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

6509Southern River

Season APEX -Event APEX 48.54Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

6524Wilder Wolves FRC

Season APEX -Event APEX 4.51Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 65.5 ±43.2

9433Lil' Timmy's Big Team

Provisional

Season APEX 35.5Event APEX 16.44Rank -Record -Status provisionalConfidence 73

7113Control Rising

Season APEX 30Event APEX 32.67Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 76

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 84.62Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9973, 6509, 6524

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.6 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9973, 6509, 6524

Auto

13.2 42%

Teleop

11.2 35%

Endgame

7.3 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9433, 7113, 9991

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.7 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9433, 7113, 9991

Auto

24.0 18%

Teleop

80.9 61%

Endgame

26.9 20%

Strengths

· 9991 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.64 · Blue 1.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score32.6pts

Blue projected score133.7pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -101.1
Score range: 22–145
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX65.5

13.2Auto24

11.2Teleop80.9

7.3Endgame26.9

59Consistency73

Result

This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.