Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 158.35

12%88%

Actual result

Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±40

9985Off-Season Demo Team 9985

Season APEX -Event APEX 17.94Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

10316The Western Blue Tongues

Season APEX -Event APEX 1.72Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9973Off-Season Demo Team 9973

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -20.47Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 96.3 ±15.6

4788Can't Control

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 93.37Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 79

9433Lil' Timmy's Big Team

Provisional

Season APEX 35.5Event APEX 16.44Rank -Record -Status provisionalConfidence 73

6509Southern River

Season APEX -Event APEX 48.54Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9985, 10316, 9973

/ 100 compat

Projected

-0.8 pts

~0.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9985, 10316, 9973

Auto

2.3 46%

Teleop

3.2 64%

Endgame

-0.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4788, 9433, 6509

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.4 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4788, 9433, 6509

Auto

34.3 22%

Teleop

83.7 54%

Endgame

38.1 24%

Strengths

· 4788 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.44 · Blue 2.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score-0.8pts

Blue projected score158.4pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -158.3
Score range: -11–169
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX96.3

2.3Auto34.3

3.2Teleop83.7

-0.5Endgame38.1

59Consistency43

Result

This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.