Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

64.48 – 40.76

57%43%

Actual result

Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 30 ±41.5

9984Off-Season Demo Team 9984

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 13.86Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

7113Control Rising

Season APEX 30Event APEX 39.57Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 76

9989Off-Season Demo Team 9989

Season APEX -Event APEX 11.05Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±40

6509Southern River

Season APEX -Event APEX 42.13Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

8876Lynwood Tech Tips

Season APEX -Event APEX 11.4Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -12.77Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9984, 7113, 9989

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.5 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9984, 7113, 9989

Auto

20.7 34%

Teleop

32.0 53%

Endgame

7.9 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6509, 8876, 9990

/ 100 compat

Projected

40.8 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6509, 8876, 9990

Auto

14.4 35%

Teleop

20.1 49%

Endgame

6.6 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score64.5pts

Blue projected score40.8pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 23.7
Score range: 31–74
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

30Season APEX0

20.7Auto14.4

32Teleop20.1

7.9Endgame6.6

30Consistency95

Result

This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.