Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.84 – 131.81

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

40 – 186

Prediction correct · off by 42.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±56.6

9980Off-Season Demo Team 9980

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 38.71Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

4537RoboRoos

Season APEX -Event APEX 26.39Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9987Off-Season Demo Team 9987

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 5.74Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 110.4 ±42.9

9984Off-Season Demo Team 9984

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 7.7Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

4788Can't Control

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 85.16Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 79

10342Lost in Translation

Provisional

Season APEX 49.6Event APEX 38.95Rank -Record -Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9980, 4537, 9987

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.8 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9980, 4537, 9987

Auto

16.8 26%

Teleop

34.2 54%

Endgame

12.6 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9984, 4788, 10342

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.8 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9984, 4788, 10342

Auto

24.3 20%

Teleop

70.0 56%

Endgame

30.2 24%

Strengths

· 4788 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.89 · Blue 1.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score70.8pts

Blue projected score131.8pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -61
Score range: 61–142
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 226 vs event baseline 54.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX110.4

16.8Auto24.3

34.2Teleop70

12.6Endgame30.2

0Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	47
teleop	18	104
endgame	9	35
foul	0	0
total	40	186

Result

Final score

40 – 186

Prediction correct · off by 42.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable