Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 23.87

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

30 – 23

Prediction missed · off by 15.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 35.5 ±41.8

8876Lynwood Tech Tips

Season APEX -Event APEX 4.65Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9973Off-Season Demo Team 9973

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -21.39Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9433Lil' Timmy's Big Team

Provisional

Season APEX 35.5Event APEX 11.42Rank -Record -Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 29.91Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -8.83Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9977Off-Season Demo Team 9977

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 2.79Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8876, 9973, 9433

/ 100 compat

Projected

-5.3 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8876, 9973, 9433

Auto

7.9 100%

Teleop

-4.5 0%

Endgame

0.9 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9995, 9990, 9977

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.9 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9995, 9990, 9977

Auto

6.8 40%

Teleop

9.0 53%

Endgame

1.3 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.95 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score-5.3pts

Blue projected score23.9pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 9%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23.9
Score range: -10–34
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 53 vs event baseline 55.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

35.5Season APEX0

7.9Auto6.8

-4.5Teleop9

0.9Endgame1.3

93Consistency81

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	12
teleop	8	8
endgame	8	3
foul	0	0
total	30	23

Result

Final score

30 – 23

Prediction missed · off by 15.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable