Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

55.51 – 99.34

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

52 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 46.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 30 ±57.6

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 6.16Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

7113Control Rising

Season APEX 30Event APEX 27.63Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 76

9978Off-Season Demo Team 9978

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 21.72Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 60.8 ±41.2

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 9.92Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

4788Can't Control

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 69.87Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 79

4537RoboRoos

Season APEX -Event APEX 19.55Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9992, 7113, 9978

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.5 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9992, 7113, 9978

Auto

15.3 27%

Teleop

29.6 53%

Endgame

11.1 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9995, 4788, 4537

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.3 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9995, 4788, 4537

Auto

20.1 23%

Teleop

49.7 56%

Endgame

18.3 21%

Strengths

· 4788 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.91 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score55.5pts

Blue projected score99.3pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -43.8
Score range: 47–108
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 240 vs event baseline 52.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

30Season APEX60.8

15.3Auto20.1

29.6Teleop49.7

11.1Endgame18.3

39Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	26
teleop	29	106
endgame	5	56
foul	0	0
total	52	188

Result

Final score

52 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 46.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable