Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 1.52

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

15 – 16

Prediction correct · off by 14.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 50.9 ±57.4

9973Off-Season Demo Team 9973

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -23.06Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9191My Chemical Robots

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 25.87Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 79

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -11.45Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±40

9977Off-Season Demo Team 9977

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 4.11Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

10316The Western Blue Tongues

Season APEX -Event APEX 2.38Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

8876Lynwood Tech Tips

Season APEX -Event APEX -4.97Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9973, 9191, 9990

/ 100 compat

Projected

-8.6 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9973, 9191, 9990

Auto

3.0 0%

Teleop

-17.3 92%

Endgame

-4.5 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9977, 10316, 8876

/ 100 compat

Projected

1.5 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9977, 10316, 8876

Auto

2.6 28%

Teleop

6.6 70%

Endgame

0.2 2%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.08 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score-8.6pts

Blue projected score1.5pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 10%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -1.5
Score range: -10–12
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 31 vs event baseline 53.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

50.9Season APEX0

3Auto2.6

-17.3Teleop6.6

-4.5Endgame0.2

127Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	7
teleop	6	5
endgame	0	4
foul	0	0
total	15	16

Result

Final score

15 – 16

Prediction correct · off by 14.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable