Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

76.82 – 0

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

74 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 12.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 85.1 ±17

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 18.56Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

10342Lost in Translation

Provisional

Season APEX 49.6Event APEX 48.18Rank -Record -Status provisionalConfidence 73

9433Lil' Timmy's Big Team

Provisional

Season APEX 35.5Event APEX 10.08Rank -Record -Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±56.6

6524Wilder Wolves FRC

Season APEX -Event APEX -14.55Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9996Off-Season Demo Team 9996

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 10.81Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9984Off-Season Demo Team 9984

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0.09Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 10342, 9433

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.8 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 10342, 9433

Auto

14.5 21%

Teleop

37.4 54%

Endgame

17.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6524, 9996, 9984

/ 100 compat

Projected

-3.6 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6524, 9996, 9984

Auto

9.1 0%

Teleop

-5.3 100%

Endgame

-7.0 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.64 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score76.8pts

Blue projected score-3.6pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 76.8
Score range: -10–87
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 96 vs event baseline 53.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

85.1Season APEX0

14.5Auto9.1

37.4Teleop-5.3

17.6Endgame-7

95Consistency121

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	9
teleop	42	9
endgame	19	4
foul	0	0
total	74	22

Result

Final score

74 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 12.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable