Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.16 – 74.47

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

18 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 42.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±56.6

9983Off-Season Demo Team 9983

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 14.39Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9998Off-Season Demo Team 9998

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 14.67Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9985Off-Season Demo Team 9985

Season APEX -Event APEX 22.1Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±56.6

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 56.67Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9987Off-Season Demo Team 9987

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 5.93Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9989Off-Season Demo Team 9989

Season APEX -Event APEX 11.87Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9983, 9998, 9985

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.2 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9983, 9998, 9985

Auto

11.0 23%

Teleop

26.6 56%

Endgame

10.1 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9991, 9987, 9989

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.5 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9991, 9987, 9989

Auto

16.6 23%

Teleop

38.3 54%

Endgame

16.4 23%

Strengths

· 9991 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score51.2pts

Blue projected score74.5pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23.3
Score range: 41–84
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 145 vs event baseline 53.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

11Auto16.6

26.6Teleop38.3

10.1Endgame16.4

63Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	28
teleop	11	71
endgame	0	28
foul	0	0
total	18	127

Result

Final score

18 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 42.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable