Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

40.35 – 57.63

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

25 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 57.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±56.6

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 5Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 21.84Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9979Off-Season Demo Team 9979

Season APEX -Event APEX 13.51Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 50.9 ±41.2

9191My Chemical Robots

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 8.07Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 79

9980Off-Season Demo Team 9980

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 30.28Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

6509Southern River

Season APEX -Event APEX 19.28Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9992, 9995, 9979

/ 100 compat

Projected

40.4 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9992, 9995, 9979

Auto

7.1 26%

Teleop

16.2 59%

Endgame

4.2 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9191, 9980, 6509

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.6 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9191, 9980, 6509

Auto

20.5 30%

Teleop

41.1 61%

Endgame

6.0 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.05 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score40.4pts

Blue projected score57.6pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -17.3
Score range: 31–67
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 182 vs event baseline 51.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX50.9

7.1Auto20.5

16.2Teleop41.1

4.2Endgame6

37Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	21
teleop	12	50
endgame	7	36
foul	0	50
total	25	157

Result

Final score

25 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 57.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable