Qualification · Qualification 22
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 28.93
30%70%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
26 – 93
Prediction correct · off by 45 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3
Season APEX 0Event APEX -7.38Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX -27.71Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX -4.99Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 30 ±41.5
Season APEX -Event APEX -0.06Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -
Season APEX 0Event APEX 1.58Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 30Event APEX 27.41Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 76
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9987, 9973, 9984
20
/ 100 compatProjected
-40.1 pts
~0.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9987, 9973, 9984
Auto
-3.9 12%
Teleop
-24.6 74%
Endgame
-4.8 14%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 12%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9989, 9998, 7113
37
/ 100 compatProjected
28.9 pts
~1.6 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9989, 9998, 7113
Auto
10.2 40%
Teleop
16.2 64%
Endgame
-1.2 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 12%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.76 · Blue 1.56
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score-40.1pts
Blue projected score28.9pts
Red win probability30%
Event bonus sample70alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 12%, blue 12%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -28.9
- Score range
- -9–38
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
0Season APEX30
-3.9Auto10.2
-24.6Teleop16.2
-4.8Endgame-1.2
149Consistency98
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 21 |
| teleop | 5 | 31 |
| endgame | 2 | 11 |
| foul | 0 | 30 |
| total | 26 | 93 |
Result
Final score
26 – 93
Prediction correct · off by 45 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable