Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

85.9 – 53.71

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

80 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 8.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 49.6 ±12

10342Lost in Translation

Provisional

Season APEX 49.6Event APEX 41.85Rank 3Record 6-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6509Southern River

Season APEX -Event APEX 27.19Rank 2Record 7-1-0Status -Confidence -

9979Off-Season Demo Team 9979

Season APEX -Event APEX 16.86Rank 7Record 6-2-0Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±40

9985Off-Season Demo Team 9985

Season APEX -Event APEX 21.86Rank 14Record 3-5-0Status -Confidence -

9977Off-Season Demo Team 9977

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 10.63Rank 20Record 3-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 21.22Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10342, 6509, 9979

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.9 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10342, 6509, 9979

Auto

12.4 15%

Teleop

50.7 63%

Endgame

18.0 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9985, 9977, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.7 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9985, 9977, NaN

Auto

18.7 34%

Teleop

28.5 52%

Endgame

7.3 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score85.9pts

Blue projected score53.7pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32.2
Score range: 45–95
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 145 vs event baseline 49.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

49.6Season APEX0

12.4Auto18.7

50.7Teleop28.5

18Endgame7.3

66Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	8
teleop	50	35
endgame	11	22
foul	0	0
total	80	65

Result

Final score

80 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 8.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable