Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

29.01 – 42.48

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

22 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 12.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 30 ±57.6

9987Off-Season Demo Team 9987

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -2.03Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

7113Control Rising

Season APEX 30Event APEX 32.67Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 76

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -1.63Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±40

6524Wilder Wolves FRC

Season APEX -Event APEX 4.51Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9980Off-Season Demo Team 9980

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 30.42Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9979Off-Season Demo Team 9979

Season APEX -Event APEX 7.55Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9987, 7113, 9990

/ 100 compat

Projected

29 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9987, 7113, 9990

Auto

11.5 41%

Teleop

17.8 63%

Endgame

-1.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6524, 9980, 9979

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.5 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6524, 9980, 9979

Auto

14.6 38%

Teleop

18.6 48%

Endgame

5.7 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.08 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score29pts

Blue projected score42.5pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -13.5
Score range: 18–53
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 46 vs event baseline 59.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

30Season APEX0

11.5Auto14.6

17.8Teleop18.6

-1.1Endgame5.7

32Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	7
teleop	14	14
endgame	0	3
foul	0	0
total	22	24

Result

Final score

22 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 12.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable