Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

24.64 – 70.34

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

20 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 15 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±0

6524Wilder Wolves FRC

Season APEX -Event APEX -5.68Rank 23Record 3-7-1Status -Confidence -

10316The Western Blue Tongues

Season APEX -Event APEX 8.47Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status -Confidence -

4537RoboRoos

Season APEX -Event APEX 21.85Rank 5Record 7-4-0Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±56.6

9980Off-Season Demo Team 9980

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 41.2Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9996Off-Season Demo Team 9996

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 17.46Rank 17Record 5-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8876Lynwood Tech Tips

Season APEX -Event APEX 11.68Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6524, 10316, 4537

/ 100 compat

Projected

24.6 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6524, 10316, 4537

Auto

10.5 33%

Teleop

19.0 61%

Endgame

1.9 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9980, 9996, 8876

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.3 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9980, 9996, 8876

Auto

15.8 28%

Teleop

35.4 64%

Endgame

4.4 8%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.94 · Blue 1.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score24.6pts

Blue projected score70.3pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -45.7
Score range: 17–78
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 65 vs event baseline 46.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

10.5Auto15.8

19Teleop35.4

1.9Endgame4.4

77Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	20
teleop	4	23
endgame	8	2
foul	0	0
total	20	45

Result

Final score

20 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 15 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable