Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 14.54

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

22 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±56.6

9973Off-Season Demo Team 9973

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -20.21Rank 22Record 2-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 25.19Rank 15Record 3-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9989Off-Season Demo Team 9989

Season APEX -Event APEX -15.44Rank 26Record 2-6-0Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±56.6

9978Off-Season Demo Team 9978

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -18Rank 12Record 3-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 13.31Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status -Confidence -

9983Off-Season Demo Team 9983

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 19.23Rank 17Record 3-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9973, 9995, 9989

/ 100 compat

Projected

-10.5 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9973, 9995, 9989

Auto

2.6 0%

Teleop

-24.5 98%

Endgame

-3.2 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9978, NaN, 9983

/ 100 compat

Projected

14.5 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9978, NaN, 9983

Auto

2.7 16%

Teleop

8.7 52%

Endgame

5.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.03 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score-10.5pts

Blue projected score14.5pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -14.5
Score range: -8–23
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 80 vs event baseline 46.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

2.6Auto2.7

-24.5Teleop8.7

-3.2Endgame5.2

109Consistency187

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	14
teleop	7	20
endgame	3	24
foul	0	0
total	22	58

Result

Final score

22 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable