Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

126.63 – 0

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

113 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 24.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 49.6 ±41.8

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 38.28Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9985Off-Season Demo Team 9985

Season APEX -Event APEX 49.11Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

10342Lost in Translation

Provisional

Season APEX 49.6Event APEX 39.24Rank -Record -Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±40

9987Off-Season Demo Team 9987

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -13.34Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

10316The Western Blue Tongues

Season APEX -Event APEX -1.52Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

8876Lynwood Tech Tips

Season APEX -Event APEX 2.81Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9991, 9985, 10342

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.6 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9991, 9985, 10342

Auto

23.0 21%

Teleop

66.7 62%

Endgame

17.5 16%

Strengths

· 9985 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9987, 10316, 8876

/ 100 compat

Projected

-12 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9987, 10316, 8876

Auto

0.7 0%

Teleop

-2.3 37%

Endgame

-4.6 74%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.13 · Blue 0.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score126.6pts

Blue projected score-12pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 126.6
Score range: -8–135
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 148 vs event baseline 45.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

49.6Season APEX0

23Auto0.7

66.7Teleop-2.3

17.5Endgame-4.6

38Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	6
teleop	69	21
endgame	26	8
foul	0	0
total	113	35

Result

Final score

113 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 24.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable